Race 1A

mcsa-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jake Weinstein 12.0% 12.8% 13.1% 13.8% 10.7% 10.5% 11.2% 8.1% 5.5% 2.2%
Abe Weston 10.0% 11.3% 10.8% 11.2% 13.0% 10.8% 11.2% 10.8% 7.3% 3.5%
Greg Bittle 7.5% 8.6% 8.3% 8.3% 10.1% 12.7% 13.9% 12.6% 11.6% 6.5%
Timothy Hesse 20.7% 18.1% 14.9% 14.6% 11.9% 9.1% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.4%
Max Naseef 6.1% 7.4% 8.3% 8.6% 9.6% 10.5% 11.7% 14.2% 13.9% 9.6%
Braden Vogel 21.2% 16.7% 16.2% 13.9% 10.9% 8.9% 5.8% 4.2% 1.8% 0.4%
Wyatt Tait 8.2% 8.3% 8.9% 9.0% 11.5% 12.3% 12.8% 12.0% 11.5% 5.5%
Eli Erling 3.2% 4.0% 5.3% 6.0% 5.9% 7.1% 9.2% 12.0% 18.7% 28.4%
Hayden Johansen 2.5% 3.8% 3.9% 4.2% 5.2% 5.9% 8.2% 10.5% 17.9% 37.9%
Sam Childers 8.6% 8.9% 10.2% 10.2% 11.1% 11.9% 10.6% 12.5% 10.3% 5.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.