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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+6.10vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.86+5.24vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.66+7.67vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.99+5.54vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.10+0.63vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.55-1.38vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.69+0.26vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.10-1.87vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.71-1.79vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.33-1.72vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.58-3.50vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.50-1.59vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.16-3.23vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.22-5.08vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.78-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.0%1st Place
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7.24Yale University1.867.2%1st Place
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10.67Tufts University0.661.9%1st Place
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9.54University of Rhode Island0.993.8%1st Place
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5.63Harvard University2.1012.6%1st Place
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4.62Yale University2.5517.3%1st Place
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7.26Brown University1.697.1%1st Place
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6.13Dartmouth College2.109.3%1st Place
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7.21Dartmouth College1.716.6%1st Place
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8.28Brown University1.335.1%1st Place
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7.5Boston College1.586.6%1st Place
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10.41University of Michigan0.503.3%1st Place
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9.77Tufts University1.163.6%1st Place
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8.92Northeastern University1.224.3%1st Place
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9.72Bowdoin College0.783.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Meredith Broadus | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 19.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.3% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Young | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| bella casaretto | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Anna Olsen | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 18.9% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 13.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.