← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+10.08vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.76+4.42vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+7.07vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.60+7.10vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University4.01+4.39vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.12+2.97vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.55+0.19vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.05+1.15vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.92vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+0.32vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.69-0.01vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University4.71-5.16vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia3.54-1.72vs Predicted
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14Stanford University4.05-5.06vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University4.74-8.70vs Predicted
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16Tufts University4.08-6.79vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.49-5.13vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.36-6.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.08U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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6.42College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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10.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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11.1SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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9.39Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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8.97Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.19Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.15Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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10.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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10.99Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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6.84Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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11.28University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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8.94Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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6.3Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.21Tufts University4.080.0%1st Place
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11.87University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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11.97University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% |
| Juan Maegli | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Harry Scott | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.3% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% |
| Raul Rios | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Graham Landy | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% |
| Judge Ryan | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 13.7% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.