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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.22+7.78vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+3.63vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.10+3.24vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+3.02vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.50+5.69vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.66+4.55vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.86-0.04vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.55-3.28vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.16+0.76vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.58-2.39vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.99-1.34vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.69-4.70vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.33-4.76vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.71-6.90vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.78-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.78Northeastern University1.225.2%1st Place
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5.63Harvard University2.1011.7%1st Place
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6.24Dartmouth College2.1010.2%1st Place
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7.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.2%1st Place
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10.69University of Michigan0.502.3%1st Place
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10.55Tufts University0.662.1%1st Place
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6.96Yale University1.868.4%1st Place
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4.72Yale University2.5515.7%1st Place
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9.76Tufts University1.164.0%1st Place
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7.61Boston College1.586.0%1st Place
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9.66University of Rhode Island0.993.2%1st Place
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7.3Brown University1.696.5%1st Place
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8.24Brown University1.335.3%1st Place
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7.1Dartmouth College1.717.9%1st Place
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9.75Bowdoin College0.783.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Young | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Anna Olsen | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 21.9% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 18.4% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.7% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 12.3% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| bella casaretto | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.