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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.76+5.57vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+5.34vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.69+8.08vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.49+7.49vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.05+4.19vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+3.94vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.05+2.20vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University4.01+1.37vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.04vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.12-0.78vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.60+0.31vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia3.54-0.20vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University4.74-6.65vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-4.54vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University4.71-8.56vs Predicted
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16Tufts University4.08-6.81vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.67-5.97vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.36-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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7.34Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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11.08Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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11.49University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.19Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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9.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.2Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.37Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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10.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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9.22Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.31SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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11.8University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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6.35Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.46St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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6.44Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.03U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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11.98University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Maegli | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Graham Landy | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Judge Ryan | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% |
| Christopher Stocke | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% |
| Raul Rios | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Harry Scott | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.4% |
| Chris Barnard | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| William Haeger | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% |
| Michael Grove | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.