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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.89+3.91vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+1.94vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.81+1.23vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.42+1.11vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.46+2.09vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.58-1.16vs Predicted
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7Cornell University0.98-0.85vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.86-3.70vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.88-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Fordham University1.8910.8%1st Place
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3.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1617.1%1st Place
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4.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.8115.3%1st Place
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5.11Fordham University1.429.6%1st Place
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7.09Cornell University0.463.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Pennsylvania1.5811.7%1st Place
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6.15Cornell University0.986.5%1st Place
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4.3George Washington University1.8614.4%1st Place
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4.42SUNY Maritime College1.8811.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Corsig | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.1% |
| Will Murray | 17.1% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Richard Gleason | 15.3% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Beckett Kumler | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 8.6% |
| Aidan Lane | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 42.2% |
| Cole Woodworth | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% |
| Sophia Peck | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 19.7% | 20.1% |
| Owen Timms | 14.4% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Spencer Barnes | 11.6% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.