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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.49+10.79vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+7.44vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+3.73vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+4.87vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.60+6.07vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.74+0.35vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University4.01+2.47vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.76-1.72vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.55-1.89vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.18vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.78vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.69-0.77vs Predicted
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13Stanford University4.05-3.89vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-4.39vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-5.23vs Predicted
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16Tufts University4.08-6.81vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia3.54-5.40vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.36-6.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.79University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.44Dartmouth College4.050.0%1st Place
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6.73Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.87Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.07SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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6.35Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.47Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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6.28College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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7.11Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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11.18U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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10.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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11.23Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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9.11Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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9.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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9.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University4.080.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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11.97University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Stocke | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 14.4% |
| Matthew Wefer | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 9.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Raul Rios | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% |
| Harry Scott | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% |
| Chris Barnard | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% |
| Juan Maegli | 11.1% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Graham Landy | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Michael Grove | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| William Haeger | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.