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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+1.42vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.45+1.92vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.88+0.66vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+0.44vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.32-0.80vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.93-1.25vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.13-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Cornell University2.3834.8%1st Place
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3.92University of Pennsylvania1.4513.1%1st Place
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3.66Cornell University1.8815.2%1st Place
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4.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.978.9%1st Place
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4.2George Washington University1.3210.5%1st Place
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4.75George Washington University0.937.9%1st Place
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4.61Fordham University1.139.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 34.8% | 25.5% | 18.0% | 11.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Madeleine Rice | 13.1% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 11.2% |
| Meredith Moran | 15.2% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 7.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 17.7% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 10.5% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 15.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 25.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 18.6% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.