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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.76+5.52vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.49+9.95vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+3.69vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia3.54+7.31vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+3.92vs Predicted
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6Tufts University4.08+3.16vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.74-0.62vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University4.01+1.35vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.85vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.20vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.69-0.06vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College4.05-2.37vs Predicted
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13Stanford University4.05-3.93vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.55-7.10vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-5.24vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-5.94vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.60-5.67vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.36-6.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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11.95University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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6.69Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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11.31University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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8.92Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.16Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.38Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.35Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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10.85U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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10.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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10.94Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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9.63Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.07Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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6.9Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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10.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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11.33SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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11.97University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Maegli | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Stocke | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.6% |
| Alec Anderson | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 11.8% |
| Raul Rios | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| William Haeger | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 10.6% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Michael Grove | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Graham Landy | 8.5% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% |
| Harry Scott | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.3% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.