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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+2.94vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.89+3.02vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.88+1.28vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.46+2.97vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.98+1.11vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.81-1.72vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.58-2.20vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.42-2.81vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.86-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1617.8%1st Place
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5.02Fordham University1.8910.2%1st Place
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4.28SUNY Maritime College1.8815.0%1st Place
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6.97Cornell University0.463.8%1st Place
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6.11Cornell University0.986.0%1st Place
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4.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.8115.4%1st Place
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4.8University of Pennsylvania1.5810.4%1st Place
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5.19Fordham University1.428.3%1st Place
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4.41George Washington University1.8613.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 17.8% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 6.8% |
| Spencer Barnes | 15.0% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Aidan Lane | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 40.3% |
| Sophia Peck | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 18.6% | 22.5% |
| Richard Gleason | 15.4% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 6.7% |
| Beckett Kumler | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 9.6% |
| Owen Timms | 13.0% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.