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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.76+5.30vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+4.29vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+5.83vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+2.87vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.71+1.27vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+5.32vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.05+1.91vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.80+1.97vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.98+0.17vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.78vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-1.29vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-2.84vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-3.45vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.60-3.51vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University4.01-5.93vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.72-1.78vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia3.54-5.81vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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6.29Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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8.83Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.87Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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6.27Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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11.32University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.91Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.97Stanford University3.800.0%1st Place
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9.17Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
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10.78U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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9.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.16Tufts University4.080.0%1st Place
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9.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.49SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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9.07Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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14.22University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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11.19University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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12.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Maegli | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Raul Rios | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Graham Landy | 10.2% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Hans Henken | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Colin Smith | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Michael Grove | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| William Haeger | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Harry Scott | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Brendan Boylan | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 32.4% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% |
| John Wallace | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.