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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+1.31vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.36vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.88+0.64vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.45+0.02vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.32-0.78vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.93-1.25vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.13-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Cornell University2.3838.6%1st Place
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4.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9710.3%1st Place
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3.64Cornell University1.8814.8%1st Place
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4.02University of Pennsylvania1.4510.2%1st Place
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4.22George Washington University1.3210.9%1st Place
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4.75George Washington University0.937.1%1st Place
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4.69Fordham University1.138.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 38.6% | 25.1% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Heather Kerns | 10.3% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 17.9% |
| Meredith Moran | 14.8% | 17.1% | 18.9% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 7.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 10.2% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 11.3% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 10.9% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 14.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 18.4% | 25.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.