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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+7.88vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.98+7.48vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.08+6.05vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+2.86vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University4.01+4.06vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.56vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston4.76-0.92vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.49+3.16vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+0.66vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University4.74-3.62vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-1.32vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.80-1.62vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia3.54-2.14vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University4.71-7.93vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College4.05-6.18vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.60-5.07vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-3.84vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.72-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.88Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.48Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
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9.05Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.86Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.06Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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10.56U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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6.08College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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11.16University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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6.38Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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10.38Stanford University3.800.0%1st Place
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10.86University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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6.07Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.82Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.93SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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13.16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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13.93University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Colin Smith | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| William Haeger | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Graham Landy | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Michael Grove | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% |
| Juan Maegli | 11.3% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 7.4% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Chris Barnard | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Hans Henken | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Harry Scott | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% |
| John Wallace | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 19.8% |
| Brendan Boylan | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.