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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.86+3.32vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.58+2.77vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.88+1.34vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.160.00vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.89+0.02vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.46+1.12vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.42-1.96vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.81-3.77vs Predicted
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9Cornell University0.98-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32George Washington University1.8614.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Pennsylvania1.5812.4%1st Place
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4.34SUNY Maritime College1.8813.2%1st Place
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4.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1616.4%1st Place
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5.02Fordham University1.899.2%1st Place
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7.12Cornell University0.463.0%1st Place
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5.04Fordham University1.4210.8%1st Place
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4.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.8113.9%1st Place
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6.15Cornell University0.986.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Owen Timms | 14.1% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
Cole Woodworth | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 5.9% |
Spencer Barnes | 13.2% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
Will Murray | 16.4% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
Kenneth Corsig | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 8.4% |
Aidan Lane | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 41.2% |
Beckett Kumler | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.3% |
Richard Gleason | 13.9% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
Sophia Peck | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 18.8% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.