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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+5.58vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.76+4.28vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+6.18vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.74+2.23vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.49+6.25vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.69vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.80+3.07vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.12+0.66vs Predicted
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9Tufts University4.08-0.12vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-0.16vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.11vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.98-2.32vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-3.46vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia3.54-3.19vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.55-8.03vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.72-1.74vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-7.07vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University4.01-8.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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6.28College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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9.18Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.23Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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11.25University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.69U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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10.07Stanford University3.800.0%1st Place
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8.66Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.88Tufts University4.080.0%1st Place
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9.84St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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13.11SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.68Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
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9.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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10.81University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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6.97Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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14.26University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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9.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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9.06Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Juan Maegli | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Chris Barnard | 12.0% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% |
| Michael Grove | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% |
| Hans Henken | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% |
| Raul Rios | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| William Haeger | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Steel | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 19.9% |
| Colin Smith | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% |
| Graham Landy | 8.4% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Boylan | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 32.6% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.