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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.76+5.35vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+5.11vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.49+8.62vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+2.39vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University4.01+4.09vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+3.57vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.98+2.34vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.12+0.61vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.80+1.11vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.26vs Predicted
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11Tufts University4.08-1.99vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College4.05-2.57vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia3.54-2.06vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University4.74-7.94vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.46vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.72-1.75vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-7.11vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-8.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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7.11Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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11.62University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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6.39Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.09Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.34Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.61Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.11Stanford University3.800.0%1st Place
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13.26SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.01Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.43Dartmouth College4.050.0%1st Place
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10.94University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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6.06Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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10.54U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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14.25University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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9.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Maegli | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Graham Landy | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Stocke | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.6% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Colin Smith | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Raul Rios | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Hans Henken | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Tyler Steel | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 16.2% | 20.4% |
| William Haeger | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% |
| Chris Barnard | 11.2% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Grove | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% |
| Brendan Boylan | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 33.4% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.