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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+1.37vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.88+1.64vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.32+1.23vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.45-0.04vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.13-0.36vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-1.60vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.93-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Cornell University2.3835.8%1st Place
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3.64Cornell University1.8814.8%1st Place
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4.23George Washington University1.3210.1%1st Place
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3.96University of Pennsylvania1.4512.7%1st Place
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4.64Fordham University1.138.5%1st Place
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4.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.979.8%1st Place
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4.76George Washington University0.938.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 35.8% | 25.7% | 18.6% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Meredith Moran | 14.8% | 17.0% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 6.8% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 10.1% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 15.6% |
| Madeleine Rice | 12.7% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 11.7% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 22.6% |
| Heather Kerns | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 17.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.