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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+7.95vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.49+9.72vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.74+3.42vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.76+2.09vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.98+4.25vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.05+3.10vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.85vs Predicted
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8Tufts University4.08+0.89vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.66vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-0.15vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University4.71-4.47vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University4.01-2.38vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.55-6.11vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-4.60vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.06-1.92vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia3.54-4.64vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.80-6.70vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.04-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.95Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.72University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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6.42Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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6.09College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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9.25Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.1Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.66U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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9.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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6.53Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.62Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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6.89Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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13.08SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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11.36University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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10.3Stanford University3.800.0%1st Place
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13.04University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| Christopher Stocke | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% |
| Chris Barnard | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Juan Maegli | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Colin Smith | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| William Haeger | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Michael Grove | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.4% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Graham Landy | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Tyler Steel | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 21.7% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% |
| Hans Henken | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.