← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+2.88vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University1.42+3.08vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University0.98+3.04vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University1.86+0.28vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College1.88-0.65vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.81-1.60vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University1.89-2.01vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania1.58-3.05vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University0.46-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1617.6%1st Place
-
5.08Fordham University1.4210.3%1st Place
-
6.04Cornell University0.986.7%1st Place
-
4.28George Washington University1.8613.4%1st Place
-
4.35SUNY Maritime College1.8814.2%1st Place
-
4.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.8113.2%1st Place
-
4.99Fordham University1.8910.7%1st Place
-
4.95University of Pennsylvania1.5810.0%1st Place
-
7.04Cornell University0.463.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Murray | 17.6% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
Beckett Kumler | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 8.8% |
Sophia Peck | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 19.9% |
Owen Timms | 13.4% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
Spencer Barnes | 14.2% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
Richard Gleason | 13.2% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
Kenneth Corsig | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% |
Cole Woodworth | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 7.8% |
Aidan Lane | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 17.1% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.