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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+7.99vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.90+7.93vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+4.22vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.74+2.23vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.76+1.22vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.72vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.71-0.60vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.67vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49+2.49vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College4.05-0.68vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-1.28vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University4.01-2.31vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-3.31vs Predicted
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14Tufts University4.08-5.34vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.98-5.63vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.04-2.69vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia3.54-5.61vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.06-5.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.99Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.93Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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7.22Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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6.23Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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6.22College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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10.72U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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6.4Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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11.49University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.32Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.69Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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9.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.66Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.37Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
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13.31University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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11.39University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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12.99SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Mateo Vargas | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Graham Landy | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Chris Barnard | 12.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Juan Maegli | 10.5% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Michael Grove | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Christopher Stocke | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
| William Haeger | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Colin Smith | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Connor Trepton | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 13.1% | 23.4% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% |
| Tyler Steel | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.