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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+3.41vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+0.36vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.32+1.19vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.88-0.34vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.93-0.23vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.45-2.01vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.13-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.979.9%1st Place
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2.36Cornell University2.3835.2%1st Place
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4.19George Washington University1.3211.0%1st Place
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3.66Cornell University1.8815.2%1st Place
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4.77George Washington University0.938.3%1st Place
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3.99University of Pennsylvania1.4512.3%1st Place
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4.64Fordham University1.138.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 18.6% |
| Bridget Green | 35.2% | 27.0% | 17.7% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 11.0% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 13.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 15.2% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 6.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 19.4% | 25.4% |
| Madeleine Rice | 12.3% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 11.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 18.3% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.