Race 2A

mcsa-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Braden Vogel 18.9% 19.0% 16.7% 13.7% 10.5% 9.0% 6.0% 3.9% 1.5% 0.8%
Jake Weinstein 12.6% 12.8% 12.6% 12.4% 12.3% 11.3% 9.4% 8.7% 5.5% 2.4%
Greg Bittle 8.6% 8.0% 8.2% 10.1% 10.2% 11.9% 12.9% 13.1% 11.2% 5.8%
Timothy Hesse 20.9% 16.2% 16.6% 12.3% 12.0% 9.5% 6.6% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4%
Max Naseef 7.0% 6.3% 6.9% 9.2% 9.5% 11.8% 11.7% 14.3% 14.4% 8.9%
Wyatt Tait 7.1% 8.5% 9.5% 10.8% 10.3% 11.1% 12.8% 12.4% 10.0% 7.5%
Eli Erling 3.0% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 5.9% 6.9% 9.2% 13.1% 19.1% 29.3%
Hayden Johansen 3.0% 3.5% 4.2% 4.7% 5.0% 6.2% 7.2% 10.5% 19.2% 36.5%
Abe Weston 10.9% 12.2% 11.3% 12.2% 11.9% 11.0% 11.7% 8.9% 7.1% 2.8%
Sam Childers 8.0% 9.0% 9.6% 10.2% 12.1% 11.2% 12.6% 11.4% 10.3% 5.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.