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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.88+3.24vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.42+3.04vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.89+1.73vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-0.15vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.98+1.01vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.81-1.87vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.58-2.32vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.27-2.66vs Predicted
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9Cornell University0.46-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24SUNY Maritime College1.8814.7%1st Place
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5.04Fordham University1.429.7%1st Place
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4.73Fordham University1.8912.3%1st Place
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3.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1616.8%1st Place
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6.01Cornell University0.986.9%1st Place
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4.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.8115.2%1st Place
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4.68University of Pennsylvania1.5812.7%1st Place
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5.34George Washington University1.278.4%1st Place
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6.98Cornell University0.463.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Barnes | 14.7% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 3.5% |
| Beckett Kumler | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 8.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 6.7% |
| Will Murray | 16.8% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Sophia Peck | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 18.5% | 19.1% |
| Richard Gleason | 15.2% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Cole Woodworth | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 6.6% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 10.9% |
| Aidan Lane | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 17.3% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.