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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.76+5.60vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+7.41vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.74+3.57vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.60+7.07vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.82vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.90+4.02vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.05+2.28vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.98+1.56vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.71-2.58vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.49+1.96vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.87vs Predicted
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12Boston College4.12-2.63vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University4.01-3.64vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia3.54-2.86vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-5.21vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.36-3.68vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-6.80vs Predicted
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18Yale University4.55-11.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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9.41Tufts University4.080.0%1st Place
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6.57Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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11.07SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.82U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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10.02Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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9.28Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.56Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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6.42Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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11.96University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.37Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.36Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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11.14University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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9.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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12.32University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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10.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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6.96Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Maegli | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| William Haeger | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Chris Barnard | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Harry Scott | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% |
| Michael Grove | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% |
| Mateo Vargas | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Colin Smith | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 13.7% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% |
| Raul Rios | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 16.2% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% |
| Graham Landy | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.