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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.88+2.58vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.13+2.60vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38-0.63vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.32+0.19vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.93-0.14vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.45-2.06vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Cornell University1.8814.5%1st Place
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4.6Fordham University1.139.7%1st Place
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2.37Cornell University2.3835.4%1st Place
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4.19George Washington University1.3211.0%1st Place
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4.86George Washington University0.936.5%1st Place
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3.94University of Pennsylvania1.4513.1%1st Place
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4.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.979.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 14.5% | 18.5% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 6.7% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 23.0% |
| Bridget Green | 35.4% | 26.3% | 17.7% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 11.0% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 13.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 19.9% | 25.6% |
| Madeleine Rice | 13.1% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 11.5% |
| Heather Kerns | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.