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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+8.49vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.90+8.19vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.76+3.52vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.08+5.03vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University4.01+4.41vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.90vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+2.96vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.12+0.97vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.60+2.23vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University4.74-3.37vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia3.54+0.62vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University4.71-5.08vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.55-5.94vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.98-4.70vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-5.21vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.49-4.19vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.36-4.67vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-8.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.49Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.19Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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6.52College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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9.03Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.41Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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10.9U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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9.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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8.97Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.23SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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6.63Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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6.92Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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7.06Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.3Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
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9.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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11.81University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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12.33University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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9.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Mateo Vargas | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% |
| Juan Maegli | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% |
| Michael Grove | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
| Raul Rios | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Harry Scott | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 12.6% |
| Alec Anderson | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Graham Landy | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Colin Smith | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 14.2% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 17.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.