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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.76+5.40vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+7.04vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+6.14vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+8.85vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.71+1.25vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.55+0.87vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.49+4.32vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.74-1.88vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.57vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.88vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.60+0.05vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University4.01-2.46vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.12-4.45vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia3.54-3.18vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.72-0.89vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-6.30vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.90-7.24vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.98-8.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University4.080.0%1st Place
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9.14Dartmouth College4.050.0%1st Place
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12.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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6.25Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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6.87Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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11.32University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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6.12Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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10.88U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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11.05SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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9.54Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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8.55Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.82University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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14.11University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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9.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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9.76Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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9.03Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Maegli | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| William Haeger | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Wefer | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| John Wallace | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 20.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Graham Landy | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 6.8% |
| Chris Barnard | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| Michael Grove | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.1% |
| Harry Scott | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Raul Rios | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% |
| Brendan Boylan | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 31.3% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Mateo Vargas | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Colin Smith | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.