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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+1.37vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.88+1.68vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.13+1.60vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.45-0.04vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.32-0.77vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.93-1.20vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Cornell University2.3835.4%1st Place
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3.68Cornell University1.8814.9%1st Place
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4.6Fordham University1.138.2%1st Place
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3.96University of Pennsylvania1.4513.5%1st Place
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4.23George Washington University1.3210.5%1st Place
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4.8George Washington University0.936.9%1st Place
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4.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9710.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 35.4% | 26.4% | 18.4% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 14.9% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 7.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 19.3% | 21.6% |
| Madeleine Rice | 13.5% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 11.3% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 10.5% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 15.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 26.4% |
| Heather Kerns | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.