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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+7.89vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+4.24vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.76+3.09vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.74+1.98vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+7.63vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.98+3.06vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia3.54+3.83vs Predicted
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8Tufts University4.08+0.52vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.26vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.12-1.28vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.60-0.28vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-2.27vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.49-2.09vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.90-4.96vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.92-1.81vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-6.45vs Predicted
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17Yale University4.55-10.16vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.72-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.24Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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6.09College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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5.98Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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12.63St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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9.06Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
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10.83University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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8.52Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.26U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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8.72Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.72SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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9.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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10.91University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.04Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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13.19Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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6.84Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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13.78University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Juan Maegli | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Chris Barnard | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| John Wallace | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 17.8% |
| Colin Smith | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% |
| William Haeger | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Michael Grove | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Raul Rios | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Harry Scott | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% |
| Mateo Vargas | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Zach Runci | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 18.4% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Graham Landy | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Boylan | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.