← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Maritime College1.88+3.19vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University1.27+3.37vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.81+1.05vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University1.89+0.83vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University0.98+0.95vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-2.12vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania1.58-2.30vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University1.42-2.94vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University0.46-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.19SUNY Maritime College1.8815.2%1st Place
-
5.37George Washington University1.277.6%1st Place
-
4.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.8116.2%1st Place
-
4.83Fordham University1.8911.8%1st Place
-
5.95Cornell University0.986.6%1st Place
-
3.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1617.4%1st Place
-
4.7University of Pennsylvania1.5811.6%1st Place
-
5.06Fordham University1.429.7%1st Place
-
6.97Cornell University0.463.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Barnes | 15.2% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 10.9% |
| Richard Gleason | 16.2% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 6.3% |
| Sophia Peck | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 19.2% |
| Will Murray | 17.4% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Cole Woodworth | 11.6% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% |
| Beckett Kumler | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.2% |
| Aidan Lane | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 17.2% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.