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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+3.43vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.93+2.76vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.32+1.19vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.88-0.37vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38-2.62vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.13-1.36vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.45-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9710.2%1st Place
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4.76George Washington University0.938.1%1st Place
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4.19George Washington University1.3211.2%1st Place
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3.63Cornell University1.8816.1%1st Place
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2.38Cornell University2.3835.7%1st Place
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4.64Fordham University1.136.9%1st Place
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3.98University of Pennsylvania1.4511.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 19.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 25.8% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 11.2% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 15.3% | 13.9% |
| Meredith Moran | 16.1% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 7.5% |
| Bridget Green | 35.7% | 25.8% | 18.0% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.9% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 22.2% |
| Madeleine Rice | 11.8% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.