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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+2.89vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.89+2.88vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.27+2.36vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.88+0.18vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.98+1.08vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.46+0.93vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.42-2.06vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.81-3.89vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.58-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1618.6%1st Place
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4.88Fordham University1.8911.2%1st Place
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5.36George Washington University1.278.6%1st Place
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4.18SUNY Maritime College1.8815.7%1st Place
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6.08Cornell University0.984.9%1st Place
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6.93Cornell University0.463.4%1st Place
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4.94Fordham University1.429.8%1st Place
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4.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.8115.3%1st Place
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4.64University of Pennsylvania1.5812.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 18.6% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.2% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 12.1% |
| Spencer Barnes | 15.7% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Sophia Peck | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 19.1% | 18.6% |
| Aidan Lane | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 16.5% | 39.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 7.8% |
| Richard Gleason | 15.3% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Cole Woodworth | 12.6% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.