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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.88+2.65vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+0.35vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.32+1.23vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.13+0.62vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.45-2.00vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.93-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Cornell University1.8814.8%1st Place
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2.35Cornell University2.3836.4%1st Place
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4.23George Washington University1.3210.7%1st Place
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4.62Fordham University1.139.0%1st Place
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4.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.978.8%1st Place
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4.0University of Pennsylvania1.4512.4%1st Place
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4.76George Washington University0.937.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 14.8% | 16.9% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 7.5% |
| Bridget Green | 36.4% | 26.2% | 17.4% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 10.7% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 15.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 22.6% |
| Heather Kerns | 8.8% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 17.5% |
| Madeleine Rice | 12.4% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 11.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 18.1% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.