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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+7.83vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.37+8.85vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+8.00vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.30+2.62vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.95+3.04vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49+4.06vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.36-0.55vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.80+0.63vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.05+2.91vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.95-1.64vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-1.59vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-2.82vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.72-4.06vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.74-5.33vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia3.01-2.93vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.92-7.65vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.29-5.89vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.85-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.83Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.85Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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11.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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6.62Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.04College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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10.06Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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6.45Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.63Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.91SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.36Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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9.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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8.94Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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12.07University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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8.35Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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11.11University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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12.53University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| William Hutchings | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Ben Spector | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Scott Houck | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
| Nick Valente | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 11.1% |
| William Macdonald | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Louis Padnos | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
| Philip Crain | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Mary Hall | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 15.2% |
| William Bailey | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 10.6% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.