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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.95+7.36vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.37+8.90vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+5.93vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.49+6.00vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.36+1.45vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+2.13vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.49+3.11vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.80+0.67vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.30-2.35vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+1.06vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.78vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-2.20vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.72-4.05vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.85-1.56vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-6.23vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.88-7.53vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia3.01-4.68vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.05-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.36College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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10.9Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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8.93Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.0Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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6.45Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.13Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.11University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.67Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.65Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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11.06St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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8.95Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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12.44University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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8.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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8.47Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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12.32University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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11.75SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| William Hutchings | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Scott Houck | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| William Macdonald | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Will Stocke | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% |
| Mary Hall | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Louis Padnos | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Oliver Toole | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 18.2% |
| Philip Crain | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| Alex Cook | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 16.9% |
| Nick Valente | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.