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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.88+2.59vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.42vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.13+1.73vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38-1.65vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.32-0.80vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.93-1.30vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.45-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Cornell University1.8816.2%1st Place
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4.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9710.2%1st Place
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4.73Fordham University1.137.7%1st Place
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2.35Cornell University2.3834.6%1st Place
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4.2George Washington University1.3211.1%1st Place
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4.7George Washington University0.938.0%1st Place
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4.0University of Pennsylvania1.4512.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 16.2% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 6.7% |
| Heather Kerns | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 18.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 24.3% |
| Bridget Green | 34.6% | 27.7% | 18.1% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 11.1% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 15.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 24.2% |
| Madeleine Rice | 12.1% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.