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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+9.85vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.72+7.28vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.30+3.80vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.82+4.48vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.05+6.74vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.95+2.04vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.88+1.31vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.90vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49+1.05vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.95-1.66vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.36-4.48vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.49-1.54vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.37-2.61vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.85-1.61vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.69vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia3.01-3.79vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-7.53vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.80-9.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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9.28Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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6.8Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.48Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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11.74SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.04College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.31Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.05University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.34Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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6.52Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.46Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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10.39Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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12.39University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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10.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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12.21University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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9.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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8.45Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% |
| Nick Valente | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 14.2% |
| Ben Spector | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Alex Cook | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Mary Hall | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% |
| Will Stocke | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| William Macdonald | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.7% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Scott Houck | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% |
| William Hutchings | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 18.7% |
| David Alfonso | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% |
| Christopher Stessing | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 15.8% |
| Louis Padnos | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.