Race 3A

mcsa-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Abe Weston 10.5% 10.7% 11.6% 11.7% 11.7% 12.8% 11.5% 9.8% 6.3% 3.5%
Braden Vogel 18.1% 18.6% 16.4% 14.6% 10.4% 8.8% 6.5% 4.2% 2.0% 0.2%
Max Naseef 5.7% 7.6% 7.9% 8.6% 10.2% 11.1% 13.2% 14.1% 12.7% 9.0%
Jake Weinstein 13.4% 11.8% 12.3% 12.2% 11.9% 11.7% 10.2% 9.0% 5.3% 2.1%
Greg Bittle 8.6% 8.1% 8.8% 9.2% 10.3% 11.5% 12.6% 12.2% 10.6% 8.0%
Sam Childers 9.2% 7.8% 9.4% 10.4% 11.1% 11.2% 11.9% 13.7% 11.1% 4.3%
Hayden Johansen 2.4% 3.2% 3.7% 4.2% 4.8% 6.6% 7.6% 10.8% 19.1% 37.6%
Timothy Hesse 19.1% 19.3% 15.8% 14.6% 11.8% 8.6% 5.6% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
Eli Erling 4.0% 4.0% 5.0% 5.1% 7.0% 6.7% 8.6% 10.9% 20.4% 28.2%
Wyatt Tait 8.9% 8.9% 9.0% 9.2% 10.8% 11.2% 12.3% 11.8% 11.1% 6.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.