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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+2.93vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.42+2.99vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.27+2.36vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.58+0.76vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.46+1.86vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.98+0.07vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.81-2.93vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.88-3.80vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.89-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1616.2%1st Place
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4.99Fordham University1.429.4%1st Place
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5.36George Washington University1.279.5%1st Place
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4.76University of Pennsylvania1.5810.8%1st Place
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6.86Cornell University0.463.6%1st Place
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6.07Cornell University0.986.6%1st Place
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4.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.8116.0%1st Place
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4.2SUNY Maritime College1.8816.4%1st Place
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4.76Fordham University1.8911.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 16.2% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Beckett Kumler | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 7.2% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 10.9% |
| Cole Woodworth | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 6.2% |
| Aidan Lane | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 17.1% | 37.6% |
| Sophia Peck | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 21.9% |
| Richard Gleason | 16.0% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Spencer Barnes | 16.4% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.