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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.05+10.91vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+8.85vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+6.14vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.82+4.41vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.30+1.49vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.36+0.30vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.95+0.90vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.49+1.84vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.95-1.13vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.01-2.08vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.98+1.16vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.37-1.16vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.92vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.85-1.73vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.89-6.88vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia3.01-3.95vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.49-6.90vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.72-9.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.91SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.41Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.49Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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6.3Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.9College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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9.84University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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7.87Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.92Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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12.16Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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10.84Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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10.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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12.27University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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8.12Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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12.05University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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10.1Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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8.75Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Valente | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 13.6% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% |
| Mary Hall | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Nevin Snow | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ben Spector | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Will Stocke | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
| William Macdonald | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 14.3% |
| William Hutchings | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% |
| David Alfonso | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 17.2% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Stessing | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 14.5% |
| Scott Houck | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| Oliver Toole | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.