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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.72+8.16vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.30+4.72vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.49+7.20vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.49+5.74vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+5.11vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.88vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.37+3.45vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.36-1.77vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.95-1.11vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.98+2.35vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.89-2.68vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-1.08vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia3.01-1.19vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.95-6.30vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.05-3.27vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.85-3.38vs Predicted
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17Boston College4.01-9.15vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.82-9.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.16Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.72Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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10.2University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.74Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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10.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.45Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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6.23Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.89College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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12.35Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.32Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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11.81University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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7.7Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.73SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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12.62University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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7.85Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.31Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Toole | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Will Stocke | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Scott Houck | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% |
| David Alfonso | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% |
| Mary Hall | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| William Hutchings | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Nevin Snow | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Ben Spector | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 16.1% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.6% |
| William Macdonald | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Nick Valente | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.3% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 18.5% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.