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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+1.31vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.93+2.75vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.32vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.13+0.72vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.32-0.73vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.45-2.02vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.88-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Cornell University2.3836.5%1st Place
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4.75George Washington University0.938.2%1st Place
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4.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9710.4%1st Place
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4.72Fordham University1.138.8%1st Place
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4.27George Washington University1.329.7%1st Place
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3.98University of Pennsylvania1.4511.6%1st Place
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3.67Cornell University1.8814.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 36.5% | 27.3% | 17.0% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 24.6% |
| Heather Kerns | 10.4% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 17.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 8.8% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 25.3% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 9.7% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 18.1% | 14.0% |
| Madeleine Rice | 11.6% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 10.7% |
| Meredith Moran | 14.9% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.