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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.72+8.08vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+4.38vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.95+5.08vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.30+2.45vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+2.92vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.85+6.53vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.16vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.80+0.42vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.37+1.40vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-0.86vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-0.39vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.49-1.71vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.49-3.27vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.82-5.85vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.05-3.30vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.92-7.89vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.98-4.85vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia3.01-6.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.08Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.38Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.08College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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6.45Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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7.92Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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12.53University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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10.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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8.42Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.4Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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10.29Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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9.73University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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8.15Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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11.7SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.11Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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12.15Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Toole | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Ben Spector | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| William Macdonald | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 19.7% |
| David Alfonso | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| William Hutchings | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Mary Hall | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% |
| Scott Houck | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% |
| Will Stocke | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Nick Valente | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 12.1% |
| William Bailey | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 14.7% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.