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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.81+3.08vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.42+3.10vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.27+2.31vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-0.16vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.58-0.25vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.46+0.95vs Predicted
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7Cornell University0.98-1.03vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.88-3.74vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.89-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.8115.6%1st Place
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5.1Fordham University1.429.8%1st Place
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5.31George Washington University1.279.3%1st Place
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3.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1618.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Pennsylvania1.5811.2%1st Place
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6.95Cornell University0.463.5%1st Place
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5.97Cornell University0.986.5%1st Place
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4.26SUNY Maritime College1.8813.5%1st Place
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4.75Fordham University1.8912.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Richard Gleason | 15.6% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
Beckett Kumler | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 8.8% |
Oscar MacGillivray | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 10.8% |
Will Murray | 18.1% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
Cole Woodworth | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 5.8% |
Aidan Lane | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 41.1% |
Sophia Peck | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 19.4% |
Spencer Barnes | 13.5% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
Kenneth Corsig | 12.4% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.