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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.88+2.58vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+0.35vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.42vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.13+0.65vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.32-0.76vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.45-2.06vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.93-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Cornell University1.8817.0%1st Place
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2.35Cornell University2.3836.4%1st Place
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4.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.979.2%1st Place
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4.65Fordham University1.138.6%1st Place
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4.24George Washington University1.329.7%1st Place
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3.94University of Pennsylvania1.4512.3%1st Place
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4.82George Washington University0.936.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 17.0% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 6.9% |
| Bridget Green | 36.4% | 24.9% | 18.3% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 9.2% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 18.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 18.2% | 23.7% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 9.7% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 14.8% |
| Madeleine Rice | 12.3% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 10.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 19.9% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.