← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University4.30+5.77vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.92+6.24vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University3.95+5.12vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.49+5.79vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University4.36+1.27vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.98+6.05vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+3.52vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University3.82+0.39vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.95-1.20vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.80-1.15vs Predicted
-
11University of Virginia3.01+1.05vs Predicted
-
12Stanford University3.72-2.79vs Predicted
-
13University of Wisconsin2.85-0.68vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.15vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Maritime College3.05-3.29vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy3.74-7.15vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University3.37-6.46vs Predicted
-
18University of South Florida3.49-8.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.77Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
8.24Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
8.12Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
9.79Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
-
6.27Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
12.05Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
-
10.52St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
-
8.39Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
7.8College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
-
8.85Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
12.05University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
-
9.21Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
-
12.32University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
-
9.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
11.71SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
-
8.85U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
10.54Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
-
9.67University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Fink | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| William Bailey | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| William Macdonald | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Scott Houck | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Stewart Draheim | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 14.4% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 3.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% |
| Ben Spector | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 15.3% |
| Oliver Toole | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 17.4% |
| David Alfonso | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% |
| Nick Valente | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.3% |
| Mary Hall | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| William Hutchings | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% |
| Will Stocke | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.