← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.72+7.87vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.80+6.55vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin2.85+9.57vs Predicted
-
4Brown University4.30+2.36vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University3.82+3.20vs Predicted
-
6Boston College3.92+1.88vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.49+2.70vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+2.19vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University4.36-2.98vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy3.38+0.44vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College3.05+0.68vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-1.60vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University3.37-2.92vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University3.95-6.47vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University2.98-3.24vs Predicted
-
16College of Charleston3.95-8.16vs Predicted
-
17University of South Florida3.14-5.60vs Predicted
-
18University of Virginia3.01-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.87Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
-
8.55Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
12.57University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
-
6.36Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
8.2Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
7.88Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
9.7Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
10.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
-
6.02Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
10.44U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
-
11.68SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
-
10.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
-
10.08Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
-
7.53Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
11.76Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
-
7.84College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
-
11.4University of South Florida3.140.0%1st Place
-
11.52University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Toole | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 17.2% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| William Bailey | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Scott Houck | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Vann | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Nick Valente | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 12.3% |
| David Alfonso | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% |
| William Hutchings | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% |
| William Macdonald | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.8% |
| Ben Spector | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| David Harrison | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.