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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University0.98+5.00vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.27+3.34vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.42+2.06vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.88+0.23vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.81-0.88vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-2.13vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.89-2.27vs Predicted
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8Cornell University0.46-1.07vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.58-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Cornell University0.985.9%1st Place
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5.34George Washington University1.279.2%1st Place
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5.06Fordham University1.429.4%1st Place
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4.23SUNY Maritime College1.8815.2%1st Place
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4.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.8115.6%1st Place
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3.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1617.9%1st Place
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4.73Fordham University1.8911.9%1st Place
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6.93Cornell University0.463.9%1st Place
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4.72University of Pennsylvania1.5811.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Peck | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 19.6% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 12.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 9.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 8.0% |
| Spencer Barnes | 15.2% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Richard Gleason | 15.6% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Will Murray | 17.9% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 5.9% |
| Aidan Lane | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 39.7% |
| Cole Woodworth | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.