← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University4.30+5.56vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.80+6.54vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.49+6.95vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University4.36+2.05vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.92+2.86vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+4.33vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.95+0.73vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston3.95-0.37vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College3.05+2.58vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy3.38+0.41vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.86vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University3.37-1.39vs Predicted
-
13Stanford University3.72-4.44vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida3.14-3.13vs Predicted
-
15University of Wisconsin2.85-2.71vs Predicted
-
16Old Dominion University3.82-7.65vs Predicted
-
17University of Virginia3.01-5.10vs Predicted
-
18Roger Williams University2.98-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.56Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
8.54Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
9.95Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
-
6.05Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
7.86Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
10.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
-
7.73Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
7.63College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
-
11.58SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
-
10.41U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
-
10.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
-
10.61Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
-
8.56Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
-
10.87University of South Florida3.140.0%1st Place
-
12.29University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
-
8.35Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
11.9University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
-
11.64Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Fink | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Scott Houck | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Nevin Snow | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| William Bailey | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% |
| William Macdonald | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Ben Spector | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Nick Valente | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% |
| Taylor Vann | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% |
| David Alfonso | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% |
| William Hutchings | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% |
| Oliver Toole | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| David Harrison | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 16.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 14.5% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.