← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.38+1.36vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University1.88+1.63vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.32+1.18vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University1.13+0.65vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University0.93-0.29vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-1.52vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania1.45-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.36Cornell University2.3836.1%1st Place
-
3.63Cornell University1.8815.7%1st Place
-
4.18George Washington University1.3211.5%1st Place
-
4.65Fordham University1.138.0%1st Place
-
4.71George Washington University0.938.2%1st Place
-
4.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.979.1%1st Place
-
3.98University of Pennsylvania1.4511.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 36.1% | 26.8% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 15.7% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 7.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 11.5% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 14.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 23.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 25.6% |
| Heather Kerns | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 19.5% | 17.2% |
| Madeleine Rice | 11.5% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.