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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University1.22+1.77vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.36+2.34vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.75-0.83vs Predicted
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4Duke University0.06+0.52vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.17-0.35vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.99+0.65vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.52-1.12vs Predicted
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8Rice University-1.29-0.78vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-1.92-0.89vs Predicted
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10College of Coastal Georgia-2.27-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Clemson University1.2224.7%1st Place
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4.34The Citadel0.369.2%1st Place
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2.17College of Charleston1.7539.0%1st Place
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4.52Duke University0.068.0%1st Place
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4.65Clemson University-0.177.8%1st Place
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6.65North Carolina State University-0.992.9%1st Place
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5.88The Citadel-0.525.0%1st Place
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7.22Rice University-1.291.6%1st Place
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8.11University of Tennessee-1.921.2%1st Place
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8.69College of Coastal Georgia-2.270.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
William Turner | 24.7% | 24.9% | 21.3% | 14.9% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Noah Frank | 9.2% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Diego Carvajal | 39.0% | 29.1% | 17.2% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Ian Hoogenboom | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Samantha Bialek | 7.8% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
Campbell Tate | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 21.0% | 15.1% | 6.7% |
Robert Prause | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 2.6% |
Aidan Murphy | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 22.6% | 20.4% | 12.3% |
Crispin Martin | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 28.2% | 28.7% |
Nellie Little | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 21.4% | 48.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.