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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+5.39vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.80+6.63vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.72+5.99vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.37+6.17vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+5.35vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.05+5.67vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.92+0.95vs Predicted
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8Brown University4.30-1.70vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49+0.76vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.95-1.89vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.38-0.60vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.64-2.44vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.85-0.77vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.49-4.54vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.99vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia3.01-4.06vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-6.01vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.82-9.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.63Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.99Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.17Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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10.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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11.67SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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7.95Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.3Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.76University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.11Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
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9.56College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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12.23University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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9.46Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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10.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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10.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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8.1Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| William Hutchings | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% |
| Nick Valente | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 12.3% |
| William Bailey | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Will Stocke | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% |
| William Macdonald | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| Taylor Vann | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% |
| Mac Mace | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 16.8% |
| Scott Houck | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| David Alfonso | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% |
| Christopher Stessing | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 15.5% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.