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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
William Turner 24.7% 24.9% 21.3% 14.9% 8.3% 3.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Frank 9.2% 11.5% 15.1% 17.2% 17.3% 13.2% 10.8% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2%
Diego Carvajal 39.0% 29.1% 17.2% 8.6% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Hoogenboom 8.0% 10.7% 13.5% 18.1% 16.6% 14.4% 11.0% 6.1% 1.4% 0.1%
Samantha Bialek 7.8% 10.5% 13.7% 14.5% 15.9% 16.5% 12.3% 5.8% 2.5% 0.3%
Campbell Tate 2.9% 3.4% 5.3% 6.2% 9.3% 13.7% 16.4% 21.0% 15.1% 6.7%
Robert Prause 5.0% 4.7% 6.5% 10.3% 13.5% 16.0% 17.9% 13.8% 9.8% 2.6%
Aidan Murphy 1.6% 2.4% 3.7% 5.6% 7.8% 9.9% 13.7% 22.6% 20.4% 12.3%
Crispin Martin 1.2% 1.5% 2.1% 2.8% 4.0% 7.0% 9.2% 15.2% 28.2% 28.7%
Nellie Little 0.5% 1.3% 1.6% 1.8% 2.9% 4.1% 6.8% 10.5% 21.4% 48.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.