Race 2A

ashley-river

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
William Turner 24.5% 26.7% 21.3% 14.0% 8.5% 3.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Diego Carvajal 40.8% 27.4% 16.3% 9.8% 4.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Frank 10.3% 12.3% 15.7% 17.6% 16.2% 14.4% 8.1% 3.8% 1.4% 0.1%
Ian Hoogenboom 7.8% 9.8% 14.6% 15.4% 18.0% 15.0% 11.9% 5.6% 1.7% 0.2%
Campbell Tate 2.2% 3.9% 5.1% 6.7% 8.2% 14.1% 16.6% 19.9% 16.1% 7.5%
Samantha Bialek 7.6% 10.2% 13.7% 16.2% 16.7% 15.2% 11.1% 7.0% 1.9% 0.4%
Robert Prause 3.4% 5.0% 6.8% 10.4% 13.2% 16.4% 18.3% 15.2% 8.8% 2.5%
Nellie Little 0.7% 1.2% 0.9% 1.5% 2.9% 4.4% 7.3% 11.3% 21.8% 47.9%
Crispin Martin 1.3% 1.1% 2.0% 3.0% 4.2% 5.7% 10.2% 16.3% 27.8% 28.4%
Aidan Murphy 1.6% 2.4% 3.7% 5.3% 8.0% 10.1% 14.8% 20.6% 20.6% 12.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.