← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+9.59vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University4.36+4.30vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+7.36vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.72+4.66vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.49+4.71vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.37+4.33vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College3.05+4.57vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida3.49+1.71vs Predicted
-
9Brown University4.30-2.70vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University3.95-1.94vs Predicted
-
11University of Virginia3.01+1.00vs Predicted
-
12Yale University3.80-3.18vs Predicted
-
13University of Wisconsin2.85-0.69vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy3.38-4.04vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University3.82-6.73vs Predicted
-
16College of Charleston3.64-6.73vs Predicted
-
17Boston College3.92-8.92vs Predicted
-
18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-7.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
-
6.3Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
10.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
-
8.66Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
-
9.71Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
10.33Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
-
11.57SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
-
9.71University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
-
6.3Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
8.06Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
12.0University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
-
8.82Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
12.31University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
-
9.96U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
-
8.27Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
9.27College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
-
8.08Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
10.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| David Alfonso | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Oliver Toole | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Scott Houck | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% |
| William Hutchings | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% |
| Nick Valente | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% |
| Will Stocke | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| William Macdonald | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 12.2% | 14.7% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Fox | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 18.5% |
| Taylor Vann | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Mac Mace | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% |
| William Bailey | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.