Race 3A

ashley-river

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
William Turner 23.8% 24.9% 21.9% 15.7% 7.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Ian Hoogenboom 8.2% 10.6% 13.5% 17.0% 16.1% 16.5% 10.4% 5.9% 1.8% 0.1%
Diego Carvajal 39.9% 27.7% 17.8% 9.3% 4.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Noah Frank 10.4% 12.8% 15.3% 16.3% 17.8% 14.1% 7.5% 4.3% 1.2% 0.1%
Campbell Tate 2.8% 4.0% 5.0% 6.5% 8.9% 11.5% 18.2% 21.3% 14.7% 7.1%
Samantha Bialek 8.0% 10.0% 12.8% 16.1% 18.6% 14.1% 11.1% 6.8% 2.3% 0.3%
Robert Prause 3.4% 5.0% 6.8% 10.0% 14.0% 18.4% 18.5% 13.0% 8.2% 2.6%
Aidan Murphy 1.8% 2.5% 3.5% 4.5% 6.2% 10.8% 16.2% 20.8% 21.6% 12.2%
Nellie Little 0.5% 1.1% 1.4% 2.0% 2.8% 3.3% 6.9% 12.3% 22.4% 47.4%
Crispin Martin 1.2% 1.6% 2.1% 2.7% 4.5% 5.9% 9.2% 15.1% 27.7% 30.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.