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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.72+8.13vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.05+10.07vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+5.86vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.80+4.47vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.36+1.30vs Predicted
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6Brown University4.30+0.55vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.49+2.91vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-0.15vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+1.54vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.49+0.32vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.38-0.41vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.82-3.16vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.92-5.04vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.85-1.72vs Predicted
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153.24-4.05vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.95-7.98vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.37-6.40vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia3.01-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.13Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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12.07SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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8.47Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.3Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.55Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.91University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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7.85Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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10.32Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
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8.84Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.96Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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12.28University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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10.953.240.0%1st Place
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8.02College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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10.6Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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11.76University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Toole | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Nick Valente | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 14.9% |
| Philip Crain | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% |
| Nevin Snow | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Will Stocke | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% |
| William Macdonald | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% |
| Scott Houck | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% |
| Taylor Vann | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| William Bailey | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 17.5% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% |
| Ben Spector | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| William Hutchings | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.