← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.72+8.11vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.49+8.23vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College3.05+9.04vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.95+3.86vs Predicted
-
5Brown University4.30+1.52vs Predicted
-
6Boston College3.92+2.06vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.80+1.59vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University3.82+0.39vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida3.49+0.90vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University3.37+0.72vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University4.36-4.58vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University3.95-3.69vs Predicted
-
133.24-2.13vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-3.77vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy3.34-4.49vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-7.27vs Predicted
-
17University of Virginia3.01-4.87vs Predicted
-
18University of Wisconsin2.85-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.11Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
-
10.23Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
-
12.04SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
-
7.86College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
-
6.52Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
8.06Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
8.59Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
8.39Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
9.9University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
-
10.72Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
-
6.42Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
8.31Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
10.873.240.0%1st Place
-
10.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
-
10.51U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
-
8.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
-
12.13University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
-
12.38University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Toole | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Scott Houck | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% |
| Nick Valente | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 14.0% |
| Ben Spector | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| William Bailey | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Will Stocke | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| William Hutchings | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| William Macdonald | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% |
| Philip Crain | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 16.2% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.