Race 4A

mcsa-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Abe Weston 10.9% 10.8% 11.6% 12.9% 11.7% 12.2% 11.3% 9.2% 6.6% 2.9%
Sam Childers 7.4% 9.7% 9.8% 10.6% 11.2% 11.2% 13.2% 11.2% 10.9% 4.9%
Jake Weinstein 11.8% 13.5% 11.6% 11.0% 12.9% 11.2% 11.3% 8.7% 5.9% 2.1%
Wyatt Tait 7.8% 8.2% 9.8% 9.8% 10.5% 11.6% 12.1% 13.2% 10.8% 6.4%
Timothy Hesse 19.7% 19.1% 16.6% 13.1% 11.8% 8.6% 4.3% 4.6% 2.1% 0.2%
Greg Bittle 9.4% 8.0% 9.4% 9.6% 10.4% 10.0% 13.0% 12.1% 11.2% 7.0%
Braden Vogel 19.6% 16.6% 15.6% 14.2% 11.9% 9.8% 6.6% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
Max Naseef 7.0% 7.0% 8.1% 9.5% 10.1% 11.2% 12.2% 12.4% 12.5% 9.9%
Eli Erling 3.2% 4.0% 4.5% 5.4% 5.1% 7.8% 9.0% 13.1% 19.6% 28.3%
Hayden Johansen 3.1% 3.4% 3.0% 4.0% 4.4% 6.3% 6.9% 11.7% 19.2% 37.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.