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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University-0.17+3.63vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.22+0.74vs Predicted
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3The Citadel-0.52+2.84vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.75-1.82vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.36-0.82vs Predicted
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6Rice University-1.29+1.21vs Predicted
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7Duke University0.06-2.46vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.99-1.29vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-1.92-0.81vs Predicted
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10College of Coastal Georgia-2.27-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Clemson University-0.178.2%1st Place
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2.74Clemson University1.2223.9%1st Place
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5.84The Citadel-0.523.8%1st Place
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2.18College of Charleston1.7539.2%1st Place
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4.18The Citadel0.3611.2%1st Place
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7.21Rice University-1.291.4%1st Place
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4.54Duke University0.068.3%1st Place
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6.71North Carolina State University-0.992.7%1st Place
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8.19University of Tennessee-1.920.8%1st Place
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8.77College of Coastal Georgia-2.270.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Bialek | 8.2% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| William Turner | 23.9% | 27.7% | 19.6% | 15.2% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Prause | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 8.2% | 2.3% |
| Diego Carvajal | 39.2% | 27.0% | 18.1% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 11.2% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Murphy | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 20.8% | 21.1% | 11.4% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Campbell Tate | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 17.9% | 21.4% | 15.4% | 6.6% |
| Crispin Martin | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 27.3% | 29.6% |
| Nellie Little | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 22.7% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.