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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+9.38vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.72+7.05vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+5.67vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.30+2.42vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.95+2.85vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+3.84vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.36-0.74vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.37+2.24vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.38+1.33vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.92-1.77vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.85+1.61vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-1.14vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.49-3.33vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.80-5.80vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.95-7.19vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia3.01-4.03vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-5.91vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.05-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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9.05Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.67Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.42Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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7.85College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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9.84University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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6.26Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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10.33U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
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8.23Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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12.61University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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10.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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9.67Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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8.2Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.81Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.97University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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11.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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11.5SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alfonso | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ben Spector | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Will Stocke | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.6% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| William Hutchings | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% |
| Taylor Vann | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% |
| William Bailey | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 19.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% |
| Scott Houck | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| William Macdonald | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 14.9% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% |
| Nick Valente | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.