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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.72+8.08vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+4.38vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.30+3.60vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.37+6.26vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.88+3.14vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.85+6.52vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.16vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.82+0.32vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.49+0.84vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.38+0.63vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.89-2.72vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.05+0.04vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.95-5.26vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.49-4.51vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.95-7.18vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-5.08vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-5.95vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia3.01-6.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.08Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.38Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.6Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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10.26Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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8.14Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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12.52University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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10.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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8.32Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.84Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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10.63U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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8.28Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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12.04SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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7.74College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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9.49University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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7.82Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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11.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Toole | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Nevin Snow | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| William Hutchings | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% |
| Alex Cook | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 19.4% |
| David Alfonso | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Scott Houck | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Taylor Vann | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% |
| Nick Valente | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 14.3% |
| Ben Spector | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Will Stocke | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| William Macdonald | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.