← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.14+0.62vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University0.73+1.18vs Predicted
-
3Vanderbilt University-0.75+2.86vs Predicted
-
4Duke University-0.83+2.19vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University-1.44+2.19vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University-0.77+0.12vs Predicted
-
7College of Coastal Georgia-1.90+1.00vs Predicted
-
8The Citadel0.19-3.87vs Predicted
-
9The Citadel-0.41-3.75vs Predicted
-
10University of Tennessee-1.53-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.62College of Charleston2.1458.1%1st Place
-
3.18Clemson University0.7313.7%1st Place
-
5.86Vanderbilt University-0.753.6%1st Place
-
6.19Duke University-0.833.6%1st Place
-
7.19North Carolina State University-1.442.4%1st Place
-
6.12Clemson University-0.772.7%1st Place
-
8.0College of Coastal Georgia-1.901.1%1st Place
-
4.13The Citadel0.198.2%1st Place
-
5.25The Citadel-0.415.2%1st Place
-
7.46University of Tennessee-1.531.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Thomson | 58.1% | 26.9% | 11.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 13.7% | 25.6% | 23.8% | 17.2% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pranjal Singh | 3.6% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 5.2% |
| Ryan Ringel | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 7.0% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 20.0% | 18.4% |
| Trevin Brown | 2.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 6.1% |
| Triston Wilkerson | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 19.2% | 36.8% |
| Kenneth Buck | 8.2% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Henry Parker | 5.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Aaron Fellhoelter | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.