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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+2.88vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.85+2.38vs Predicted
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3Columbia University2.55+2.16vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester0.99+5.64vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.71-0.09vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-2.60vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.62+0.80vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.74-1.50vs Predicted
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10Colgate University1.66-2.36vs Predicted
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11University of Toronto-0.08+1.41vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University0.75-1.67vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.99-3.36vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University0.38-2.43vs Predicted
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15Drexel University1.64-7.01vs Predicted
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16Villanova University0.29-4.50vs Predicted
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17Penn State University0.13-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88Fordham University3.110.2%1st Place
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4.38Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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5.16Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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4.91Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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3.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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7.8Queen's University1.620.0%1st Place
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7.5Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.64Colgate University1.660.0%1st Place
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12.41University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.33Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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11.57Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
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7.99Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.5Villanova University0.290.0%1st Place
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11.89Penn State University0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 18.8% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 13.4% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 10.7% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 11.5% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 21.8% | 19.6% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Baxter | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Krol | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 31.4% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Williams | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rice | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.