Race 2B

ashley-river

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Harrison Thomson 58.4% 25.4% 11.9% 3.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nilah Miller 14.1% 25.0% 22.7% 17.1% 11.3% 6.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Kenneth Buck 8.8% 14.8% 19.4% 17.7% 15.2% 11.8% 7.3% 3.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Ryan Ringel 2.3% 5.6% 7.2% 10.1% 13.5% 14.8% 13.6% 15.0% 11.6% 6.4%
Jane Caroline Minchew 2.1% 2.4% 4.5% 6.3% 7.3% 9.4% 12.7% 15.3% 19.7% 20.1%
Trevin Brown 3.2% 6.7% 8.1% 10.6% 13.2% 13.5% 14.3% 13.1% 11.4% 6.0%
Henry Parker 5.5% 9.2% 11.6% 14.2% 13.4% 14.5% 14.1% 10.8% 4.7% 2.1%
Aaron Fellhoelter 1.5% 2.9% 3.6% 5.1% 7.2% 9.4% 12.0% 13.9% 20.8% 23.7%
Pranjal Singh 3.0% 6.0% 8.5% 11.8% 13.2% 13.9% 14.4% 14.1% 9.2% 5.9%
Triston Wilkerson 1.1% 2.1% 2.6% 4.1% 4.6% 6.4% 8.8% 13.2% 21.4% 35.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.