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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+2.84vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.71+2.70vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.85+1.43vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.64+3.78vs Predicted
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5Columbia University2.55+0.32vs Predicted
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6Villanova University0.29+5.55vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-3.60vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.74-1.47vs Predicted
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10Colgate University1.66-2.37vs Predicted
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11Queen's University1.62-3.09vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University0.75-1.66vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.99-3.08vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester0.99-4.08vs Predicted
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15University of Toronto-0.08-2.48vs Predicted
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16Penn State University0.13-4.15vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University0.38-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Fordham University3.110.2%1st Place
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4.7Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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4.43Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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7.78Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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5.32Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.55Villanova University0.290.0%1st Place
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3.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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7.53Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.63Colgate University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.91Queen's University1.620.0%1st Place
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10.34Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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12.52University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
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11.85Penn State University0.130.0%1st Place
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11.29Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 19.8% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 12.1% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 14.0% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 9.6% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rice | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 22.2% | 20.6% | 17.4% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Baxter | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Williams | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Krol | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 18.8% | 32.6% | 0.0% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 21.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.