Race 3B

ashley-river

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Harrison Thomson 59.2% 26.1% 10.1% 3.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nilah Miller 15.2% 24.8% 23.4% 16.4% 10.8% 5.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Kenneth Buck 7.8% 15.2% 18.5% 18.9% 16.1% 10.0% 7.0% 3.8% 2.4% 0.4%
Ryan Ringel 3.1% 5.0% 7.0% 10.8% 12.1% 14.9% 15.2% 13.8% 12.2% 5.8%
Trevin Brown 2.7% 6.0% 8.5% 9.4% 13.1% 14.9% 13.5% 14.3% 12.3% 5.1%
Pranjal Singh 3.6% 6.0% 9.2% 11.1% 12.4% 14.3% 15.9% 13.2% 9.3% 4.9%
Aaron Fellhoelter 1.2% 3.7% 4.7% 6.0% 7.5% 9.4% 11.2% 14.7% 19.2% 22.4%
Triston Wilkerson 1.1% 2.1% 2.6% 4.3% 5.1% 6.3% 8.9% 13.2% 18.2% 38.0%
Henry Parker 4.5% 8.5% 12.4% 13.1% 14.6% 14.0% 13.7% 10.5% 5.7% 3.0%
Jane Caroline Minchew 1.7% 2.6% 3.5% 6.3% 7.4% 10.1% 11.9% 15.6% 20.5% 20.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.