Race 4B

ashley-river

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Harrison Thomson 58.4% 26.9% 10.1% 3.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nilah Miller 14.4% 23.4% 23.2% 18.1% 11.2% 5.2% 2.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Ryan Ringel 3.7% 5.9% 8.8% 9.3% 11.6% 12.7% 15.0% 14.1% 11.9% 6.9%
Pranjal Singh 3.1% 6.0% 8.0% 11.5% 12.8% 15.2% 14.6% 13.5% 10.3% 5.1%
Trevin Brown 3.2% 6.0% 8.2% 10.8% 11.9% 15.8% 14.5% 13.4% 10.4% 5.7%
Kenneth Buck 8.2% 16.2% 19.2% 17.8% 14.8% 10.3% 7.3% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4%
Henry Parker 4.8% 7.8% 10.8% 14.1% 16.4% 14.1% 13.5% 9.4% 6.8% 2.4%
Jane Caroline Minchew 1.4% 3.4% 4.5% 6.3% 7.8% 9.3% 11.8% 16.0% 18.8% 20.7%
Aaron Fellhoelter 1.4% 2.5% 3.9% 5.2% 7.0% 9.8% 11.8% 15.2% 21.4% 21.8%
Triston Wilkerson 1.5% 1.8% 3.4% 3.4% 5.4% 7.5% 8.6% 13.2% 18.2% 37.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.