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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+2.41vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.62+5.74vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.85+1.38vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.55+1.22vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.71-0.11vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.11-3.15vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.74-0.57vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester0.99+0.70vs Predicted
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10University of Toronto-0.08+2.42vs Predicted
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11Colgate University1.66-3.19vs Predicted
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12Drexel University1.64-4.18vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University0.38-1.47vs Predicted
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14Penn State University0.13-1.93vs Predicted
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15Villanova University0.29-3.48vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University0.75-5.78vs Predicted
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17University of Rochester0.99-7.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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7.74Queen's University1.620.0%1st Place
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4.38Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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5.22Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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4.89Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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3.85Fordham University3.110.2%1st Place
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7.43Cornell University1.740.1%1st Place
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9.7University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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12.42University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
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7.81Colgate University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.82Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.53Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
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12.07Penn State University0.130.0%1st Place
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11.52Villanova University0.290.0%1st Place
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10.22Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Morrill | 22.6% | 22.5% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 14.5% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 11.0% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 16.9% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Krol | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 19.0% | 29.4% | 0.0% |
| William Baxter | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rice | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 19.2% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Williams | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.