Race 5B

ashley-river

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Harrison Thomson 59.2% 26.4% 10.2% 3.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Nilah Miller 13.8% 24.9% 22.6% 17.4% 10.2% 7.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Ryan Ringel 3.3% 5.6% 7.8% 10.8% 12.0% 14.6% 15.5% 13.6% 10.6% 6.2%
Pranjal Singh 3.7% 6.1% 8.0% 10.4% 13.0% 14.4% 14.8% 12.8% 11.9% 4.9%
Trevin Brown 2.8% 5.9% 8.3% 10.2% 12.9% 12.3% 15.0% 16.0% 10.8% 5.8%
Henry Parker 4.2% 9.2% 11.7% 13.5% 13.9% 16.4% 11.9% 10.9% 6.6% 1.7%
Jane Caroline Minchew 1.8% 2.9% 4.2% 6.5% 8.1% 9.8% 13.1% 13.7% 19.1% 21.0%
Kenneth Buck 8.5% 14.0% 20.4% 17.7% 15.4% 10.9% 7.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.4%
Aaron Fellhoelter 1.2% 3.0% 4.2% 5.6% 8.1% 8.5% 10.2% 15.3% 20.8% 23.1%
Triston Wilkerson 1.5% 2.1% 2.6% 5.0% 5.7% 5.8% 8.6% 13.2% 18.6% 36.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.