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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.21+1.82vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.66+0.67vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.88+0.20vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.47-1.42vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.02-0.71vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.45+0.50vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.59-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Christopher Newport University1.2122.7%1st Place
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2.67Washington College1.6624.3%1st Place
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3.2George Washington University0.8816.6%1st Place
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2.58Hampton University1.4726.7%1st Place
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4.29Virginia Tech-0.028.0%1st Place
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6.5Catholic University of America-2.450.9%1st Place
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5.93William and Mary-1.590.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 22.7% | 22.2% | 21.6% | 19.8% | 11.2% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 24.3% | 24.8% | 22.4% | 18.3% | 8.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Fisher | 16.6% | 17.1% | 21.2% | 23.8% | 17.2% | 3.8% | 0.2% |
| Valerio Palamara | 26.7% | 25.4% | 21.3% | 17.5% | 8.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Almany | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 40.1% | 16.6% | 1.9% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 4.8% | 22.8% | 68.3% |
| Katherine Perriello | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 10.0% | 52.0% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.