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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+2.80vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+1.27vs Predicted
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3Columbia University2.55+2.05vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+0.40vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.74+1.37vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.62+0.72vs Predicted
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8Villanova University0.29+3.30vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.71-4.23vs Predicted
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10University of Toronto-0.08+2.32vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester0.99-1.43vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.99-2.43vs Predicted
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13Drexel University1.64-5.34vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University0.38-2.56vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University0.75-4.61vs Predicted
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16Penn State University0.13-4.20vs Predicted
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17Colgate University1.10-7.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Fordham University3.110.2%1st Place
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3.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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5.05Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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4.4Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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7.37Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.72Queen's University1.620.0%1st Place
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11.3Villanova University0.290.0%1st Place
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4.77Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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12.32University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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7.66Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.44Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
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10.39Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
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11.8Penn State University0.130.0%1st Place
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9.16Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 18.6% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 23.7% | 22.1% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 14.2% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rice | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 12.1% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Krol | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 19.3% | 28.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Williams | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Sara Klik | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.