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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+2.36vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.11+1.73vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.74+4.31vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+0.40vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.71-1.28vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester0.99+2.55vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.62-0.34vs Predicted
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9Columbia University2.55-3.86vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University0.75+0.19vs Predicted
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11Villanova University0.29+0.44vs Predicted
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12Drexel University1.64-4.32vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University0.38-1.56vs Predicted
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14University of Toronto-0.08-1.55vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester0.99-5.45vs Predicted
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16Penn State University0.13-4.19vs Predicted
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17Colgate University1.10-7.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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3.73Fordham University3.110.2%1st Place
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7.31Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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4.4Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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4.72Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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9.55University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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7.66Queen's University1.620.0%1st Place
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5.14Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.19Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
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11.44Villanova University0.290.0%1st Place
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7.68Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.44Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
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12.45University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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11.81Penn State University0.130.0%1st Place
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9.12Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Morrill | 23.7% | 20.7% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 18.0% | 19.4% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 14.0% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 10.5% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Williams | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rice | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Krol | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 19.7% | 32.6% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
| Sara Klik | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.