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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.21+1.86vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.66+0.62vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.47-0.44vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.02+0.36vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.88-1.75vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.59-0.12vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.45-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Christopher Newport University1.2122.1%1st Place
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2.62Washington College1.6625.8%1st Place
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2.56Hampton University1.4727.3%1st Place
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4.36Virginia Tech-0.027.0%1st Place
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3.25George Washington University0.8815.6%1st Place
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5.88William and Mary-1.591.4%1st Place
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6.47Catholic University of America-2.450.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 22.1% | 20.8% | 21.6% | 22.5% | 10.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 25.8% | 25.1% | 22.1% | 16.8% | 9.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 27.3% | 25.3% | 22.4% | 15.8% | 7.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Almany | 7.0% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 37.1% | 18.6% | 2.5% |
| Jack Fisher | 15.6% | 18.8% | 18.6% | 23.4% | 19.4% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Perriello | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 11.2% | 48.9% | 30.1% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 4.7% | 23.9% | 66.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.