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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+2.78vs Predicted
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2Columbia University2.55+2.99vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.71+1.68vs Predicted
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4Colgate University1.10+5.21vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.85-0.53vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.74+1.37vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-3.62vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.62-0.29vs Predicted
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9Drexel University1.64-1.41vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University0.75-0.71vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.99-2.45vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.99-3.45vs Predicted
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14Penn State University0.13-2.00vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University0.38-3.66vs Predicted
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16Villanova University0.29-4.58vs Predicted
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17University of Toronto-0.08-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78Fordham University3.110.2%1st Place
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4.99Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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4.68Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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9.21Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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4.47Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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7.37Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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3.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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7.71Queen's University1.620.0%1st Place
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7.59Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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10.29Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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12.0Penn State University0.130.0%1st Place
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11.34Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
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11.42Villanova University0.290.0%1st Place
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12.22University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 20.4% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 10.3% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 12.2% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Klik | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 13.3% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 23.8% | 18.8% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Williams | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 18.7% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rice | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Krol | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 18.2% | 29.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.