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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.21+1.90vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.66+0.64vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.88+0.17vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.47-1.43vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.02-0.62vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.59-0.15vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.45-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Christopher Newport University1.2120.8%1st Place
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2.64Washington College1.6625.8%1st Place
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3.17George Washington University0.8816.9%1st Place
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2.57Hampton University1.4728.2%1st Place
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4.38Virginia Tech-0.025.9%1st Place
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5.85William and Mary-1.591.7%1st Place
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6.49Catholic University of America-2.450.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 20.8% | 21.1% | 21.7% | 22.6% | 11.4% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 25.8% | 24.6% | 22.4% | 16.7% | 8.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Fisher | 16.9% | 18.6% | 21.6% | 20.5% | 18.4% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Valerio Palamara | 28.2% | 24.4% | 20.9% | 16.7% | 8.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Almany | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 39.4% | 17.2% | 2.6% |
| Katherine Perriello | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 52.1% | 27.9% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 21.8% | 68.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.