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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+2.80vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.71+2.65vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.62+4.59vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-0.66vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester0.99+4.57vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85-1.61vs Predicted
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7Columbia University2.55-1.90vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.74-0.60vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University0.75+1.19vs Predicted
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10Colgate University1.10-0.69vs Predicted
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11Drexel University1.64-3.29vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.99-2.43vs Predicted
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13Penn State University0.13-1.02vs Predicted
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14University of Toronto-0.08-1.58vs Predicted
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16Villanova University0.29-4.57vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University0.38-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Fordham University3.110.2%1st Place
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4.65Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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7.59Queen's University1.620.0%1st Place
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3.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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9.57University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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4.39Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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5.1Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.4Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.19Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
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9.31Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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7.71Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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11.98Penn State University0.130.0%1st Place
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12.42University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
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11.43Villanova University0.290.0%1st Place
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11.12Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 18.1% | 19.1% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 11.3% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 24.7% | 17.6% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 13.4% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 10.5% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Williams | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Sara Klik | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 17.9% | 22.4% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Krol | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 31.7% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rice | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.