← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Washington College1.66+1.63vs Predicted
-
2Hampton University1.47+0.62vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University0.88+0.22vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University1.21-1.16vs Predicted
-
5Virginia Tech-0.02-0.69vs Predicted
-
6William and Mary-1.59-0.13vs Predicted
-
7Catholic University of America-2.45-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.63Washington College1.6626.6%1st Place
-
2.62Hampton University1.4726.2%1st Place
-
3.22George Washington University0.8815.9%1st Place
-
2.84Christopher Newport University1.2122.7%1st Place
-
4.31Virginia Tech-0.026.9%1st Place
-
5.87William and Mary-1.591.3%1st Place
-
6.53Catholic University of America-2.450.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 26.6% | 24.8% | 20.4% | 17.3% | 9.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 26.2% | 25.1% | 22.5% | 16.0% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack Fisher | 15.9% | 17.9% | 21.2% | 23.2% | 17.6% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Brian Fox | 22.7% | 21.2% | 22.7% | 19.2% | 11.7% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Almany | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 18.1% | 38.1% | 16.6% | 2.2% |
| Katherine Perriello | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 10.8% | 50.1% | 28.6% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 4.8% | 22.9% | 68.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.