Race 5A

mcsa-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Braden Vogel 19.5% 17.2% 15.2% 14.5% 12.4% 9.2% 6.3% 3.8% 1.4% 0.5%
Eli Erling 3.6% 3.8% 4.5% 4.4% 6.6% 7.6% 9.9% 11.7% 20.0% 28.0%
Greg Bittle 8.3% 8.1% 9.0% 9.2% 9.4% 11.2% 12.9% 13.5% 11.8% 6.7%
Sam Childers 8.4% 9.4% 8.8% 11.1% 9.2% 12.2% 13.6% 11.1% 10.8% 5.5%
Jake Weinstein 12.1% 13.2% 12.3% 13.0% 12.2% 11.2% 10.2% 7.3% 5.9% 2.5%
Wyatt Tait 8.3% 8.5% 8.9% 10.6% 12.0% 10.8% 11.5% 12.8% 10.9% 5.8%
Timothy Hesse 18.4% 18.6% 15.7% 14.5% 11.7% 8.5% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4%
Max Naseef 6.9% 7.2% 9.9% 8.1% 8.8% 11.2% 11.3% 13.8% 13.1% 9.8%
Abe Weston 11.7% 10.8% 11.8% 11.3% 13.0% 11.0% 10.0% 10.2% 7.0% 3.1%
Hayden Johansen 2.8% 3.2% 3.9% 3.4% 4.7% 7.0% 7.5% 12.2% 17.6% 37.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.