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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+2.31vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.11+1.72vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.71+1.65vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.74+3.34vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.85-0.56vs Predicted
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6Drexel University1.64+1.67vs Predicted
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7Columbia University2.55-1.94vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.99+1.51vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University0.75+1.21vs Predicted
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10Queen's University1.62-2.17vs Predicted
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11Villanova University0.29+0.41vs Predicted
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12Penn State University0.13+0.01vs Predicted
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14Colgate University1.10-4.60vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University0.38-3.83vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester0.99-6.49vs Predicted
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17University of Toronto-0.08-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.3%1st Place
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3.72Fordham University3.110.2%1st Place
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4.65Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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7.34Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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4.44Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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7.67Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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5.06Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.51University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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10.21Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
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7.83Queen's University1.620.0%1st Place
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11.41Villanova University0.290.0%1st Place
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12.01Penn State University0.130.0%1st Place
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9.4Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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11.17Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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12.26University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Morrill | 25.1% | 19.5% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 19.0% | 19.4% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 12.1% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 12.7% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Williams | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rice | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Klik | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Krol | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 18.8% | 29.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.