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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College1.66+1.61vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.21+0.83vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.47-0.44vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.88-0.73vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-1.59+0.88vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.45+0.51vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.02-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Washington College1.6627.3%1st Place
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2.83Christopher Newport University1.2121.0%1st Place
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2.56Hampton University1.4727.0%1st Place
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3.27George Washington University0.8815.1%1st Place
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5.88William and Mary-1.591.6%1st Place
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6.51Catholic University of America-2.450.8%1st Place
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4.34Virginia Tech-0.027.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 27.3% | 23.5% | 21.8% | 17.1% | 9.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Brian Fox | 21.0% | 23.8% | 21.2% | 21.2% | 10.6% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 27.0% | 26.0% | 21.3% | 16.2% | 8.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Fisher | 15.1% | 16.7% | 21.7% | 24.2% | 17.6% | 4.4% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Perriello | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 11.6% | 51.7% | 27.4% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 4.5% | 20.8% | 70.2% |
| Joshua Almany | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 38.1% | 18.8% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.