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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.21+1.83vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.66+0.60vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.47-0.39vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.88-0.77vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.02-0.69vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.59-0.11vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.45-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Christopher Newport University1.2120.8%1st Place
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2.6Washington College1.6627.2%1st Place
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2.61Hampton University1.4727.2%1st Place
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3.23George Washington University0.8816.7%1st Place
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4.31Virginia Tech-0.026.3%1st Place
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5.89William and Mary-1.591.2%1st Place
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6.54Catholic University of America-2.450.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 20.8% | 24.3% | 21.1% | 20.7% | 10.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 27.2% | 22.7% | 24.1% | 16.6% | 8.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 27.2% | 23.0% | 22.7% | 17.7% | 8.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Fisher | 16.7% | 18.2% | 18.5% | 23.0% | 19.5% | 3.8% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Almany | 6.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 39.6% | 16.2% | 2.3% |
| Katherine Perriello | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 10.1% | 52.8% | 27.3% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 22.8% | 69.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.