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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+2.84vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.85+2.31vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.74+3.29vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.64+2.67vs Predicted
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6Colgate University1.10+3.25vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-3.64vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.62-0.36vs Predicted
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9Columbia University2.55-3.82vs Predicted
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10Villanova University0.29+1.40vs Predicted
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11University of Toronto-0.08+1.32vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University0.38-0.82vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.99-3.27vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University0.75-3.62vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.71-10.31vs Predicted
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16Penn State University0.13-4.25vs Predicted
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17University of Rochester0.99-7.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Fordham University3.110.2%1st Place
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4.31Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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7.29Cornell University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.67Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.25Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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3.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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7.64Queen's University1.620.1%1st Place
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5.18Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.4Villanova University0.290.0%1st Place
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12.32University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
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11.18Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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10.38Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
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4.69Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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11.75Penn State University0.130.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 19.1% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 13.3% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sara Klik | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 21.5% | 20.1% | 18.6% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rice | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Krol | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 29.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Williams | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 12.9% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 21.7% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.