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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+1.62vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.21+0.80vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.66-0.35vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.02+0.30vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.88-1.77vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.59-0.11vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.45-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Hampton University1.4724.8%1st Place
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2.8Christopher Newport University1.2122.6%1st Place
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2.65Washington College1.6627.6%1st Place
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4.3Virginia Tech-0.027.1%1st Place
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3.23George Washington University0.8815.9%1st Place
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5.89William and Mary-1.591.5%1st Place
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6.51Catholic University of America-2.450.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 24.8% | 27.2% | 21.1% | 16.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Brian Fox | 22.6% | 22.5% | 22.8% | 19.0% | 11.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 27.6% | 23.2% | 19.4% | 18.6% | 9.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Almany | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 38.4% | 16.4% | 2.5% |
| Jack Fisher | 15.9% | 17.2% | 21.4% | 23.8% | 17.2% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Perriello | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 10.6% | 52.1% | 27.9% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 21.9% | 69.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.