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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+2.44vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.85+2.39vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.11+0.88vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.71+0.87vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University0.75+5.45vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.62+2.00vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.74+0.58vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.64-0.04vs Predicted
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9Columbia University2.55-3.73vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University1.49-1.61vs Predicted
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12University of Toronto-0.08+0.48vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.99-2.98vs Predicted
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14Villanova University0.29-2.17vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester0.99-4.98vs Predicted
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16Colgate University1.10-6.53vs Predicted
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17Penn State University0.13-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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4.39Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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3.88Fordham University3.110.2%1st Place
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4.87Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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10.45Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
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8.0Queen's University1.620.0%1st Place
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7.58Cornell University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.96Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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5.27Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.39Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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12.48University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.02University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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11.83Villanova University0.290.0%1st Place
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10.02University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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9.47Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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11.98Penn State University0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Morrill | 23.1% | 18.8% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 13.7% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 18.5% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Williams | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Krol | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 17.8% | 34.4% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rice | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Klik | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 20.3% | 23.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.