Race 12A

cornell-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Connor Godfrey 19.0% 16.5% 16.6% 13.8% 8.9% 9.3% 6.5% 4.5% 1.8% 1.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 9.3% 12.5% 12.4% 11.6% 10.0% 12.5% 9.5% 8.2% 5.7% 4.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 14.8% 12.0% 15.4% 12.3% 12.1% 10.4% 8.2% 7.4% 4.2% 2.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Nunn 12.4% 12.9% 11.5% 12.1% 12.5% 9.8% 10.2% 6.0% 5.7% 3.8% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliott Morrill 20.7% 20.2% 15.5% 13.1% 11.6% 6.6% 6.2% 3.1% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 1.5% 2.9% 2.2% 3.1% 3.2% 5.0% 4.5% 7.8% 9.1% 10.5% 11.7% 11.3% 14.5% 8.0% 4.7% 0.0%
Colin Keil 5.1% 4.4% 5.6% 6.6% 6.0% 9.1% 11.0% 9.8% 9.9% 9.9% 8.7% 6.7% 4.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Chris Myers 4.2% 4.1% 4.7% 6.2% 8.1% 6.8% 9.0% 7.8% 11.6% 11.7% 9.0% 8.2% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Samuel Thompson 3.2% 4.6% 4.8% 6.0% 7.6% 8.0% 9.0% 11.0% 10.4% 9.1% 9.7% 8.1% 6.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 1.5% 2.9% 2.2% 3.1% 3.2% 5.0% 4.5% 7.8% 9.1% 10.5% 11.7% 11.3% 14.5% 8.0% 4.7% 0.0%
Nicholas Pardini 3.9% 2.7% 3.9% 5.6% 6.2% 7.5% 8.1% 9.9% 10.2% 11.4% 10.5% 8.3% 5.6% 4.4% 1.8% 0.0%
Bryan Krol 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 2.7% 3.4% 2.8% 4.8% 7.4% 7.6% 12.0% 18.7% 34.4% 0.0%
Courtney Williams 1.8% 1.0% 1.7% 1.9% 3.2% 3.5% 3.5% 6.3% 7.4% 9.5% 11.0% 13.3% 13.2% 13.9% 8.8% 0.0%
Chris Pomerleau 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 2.2% 2.3% 2.9% 2.9% 4.8% 4.8% 6.1% 9.6% 14.0% 20.8% 26.4% 0.0%
Charles Rice 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 1.7% 2.1% 2.7% 2.7% 5.3% 4.8% 6.8% 8.1% 11.5% 13.6% 19.4% 18.5% 0.0%
Sara Klik 2.0% 3.4% 2.9% 4.0% 5.1% 5.2% 6.0% 6.6% 9.8% 8.6% 11.6% 12.9% 10.4% 8.1% 3.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.