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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College1.66+1.60vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.47+0.61vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.88+0.22vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.21-1.12vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.02-0.67vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.59-0.13vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.45-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Washington College1.6626.7%1st Place
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2.61Hampton University1.4727.1%1st Place
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3.22George Washington University0.8816.1%1st Place
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2.88Christopher Newport University1.2121.2%1st Place
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4.33Virginia Tech-0.027.0%1st Place
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5.87William and Mary-1.591.2%1st Place
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6.49Catholic University of America-2.450.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 26.7% | 24.2% | 22.5% | 16.8% | 8.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 27.1% | 24.6% | 21.6% | 16.3% | 8.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Fisher | 16.1% | 17.9% | 19.9% | 24.9% | 16.4% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Brian Fox | 21.2% | 21.2% | 23.2% | 19.9% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Almany | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 15.8% | 39.3% | 16.9% | 2.6% |
| Katherine Perriello | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 10.2% | 51.5% | 28.0% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 21.4% | 68.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.