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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+2.86vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.85+2.39vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+0.38vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.64+3.91vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.71-0.08vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.74+1.64vs Predicted
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7Columbia University2.55-1.75vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.62-1.03vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University1.49-1.73vs Predicted
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11Colgate University1.10-1.47vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.99-2.19vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University0.75-2.24vs Predicted
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14Penn State University0.13-1.82vs Predicted
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15University of Toronto-0.08-2.52vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester0.99-6.19vs Predicted
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17Villanova University0.29-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Fordham University3.110.2%1st Place
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4.39Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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3.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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7.91Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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4.92Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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7.64Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.25Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.97Queen's University1.620.0%1st Place
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8.27Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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9.53Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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10.76Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
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12.18Penn State University0.130.0%1st Place
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12.48University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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11.64Villanova University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 20.1% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 14.1% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 22.4% | 20.2% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 11.0% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sara Klik | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Williams | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 20.2% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Krol | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 19.4% | 31.8% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rice | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 18.7% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.