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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+1.59vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.21+0.81vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.66-0.40vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.88-0.77vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.02-0.62vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.59-0.07vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.45-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Hampton University1.4726.4%1st Place
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2.81Christopher Newport University1.2122.6%1st Place
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2.6Washington College1.6627.6%1st Place
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3.23George Washington University0.8815.4%1st Place
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4.38Virginia Tech-0.026.2%1st Place
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5.93William and Mary-1.591.1%1st Place
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6.47Catholic University of America-2.450.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 26.4% | 24.6% | 23.0% | 16.9% | 7.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Brian Fox | 22.6% | 23.4% | 21.6% | 18.4% | 11.6% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 27.6% | 23.2% | 21.9% | 18.1% | 7.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Fisher | 15.4% | 18.0% | 21.2% | 23.4% | 18.0% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Almany | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 16.7% | 40.9% | 16.7% | 2.4% |
| Katherine Perriello | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 9.6% | 50.4% | 30.6% |
| Caroline Grogan | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 24.2% | 66.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.